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Prediction for CME (2021-02-20T11:00:00-CME-001)CME Observed Time: 2021-02-20T11:00ZCME Note: From Dr. Lan Jian: In the declining part of the fast wind stream, there seem to be two flux ropes: one during Feb 23 05UT Feb 24 03UT, and the other one from Feb 24 04UT to present. CME Shock Arrival Time: 2021-02-23T05:00Z Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME: Max Kp: 4.0 Predicted Arrival Time: 2021-02-22T20:03Z Confidence that the CME will arrive: 62.5% Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 3.5 - 6.0 Prediction Method: Median of all Methods Prediction Method Note: This is the auto generated median of all submitted predictions for this CME.Lead Time: -33951.93 hour(s) Difference: 8.95 hour(s) Prediction submitted by Auto Generated (CCMC) on 2025-01-07T20:56Z |
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